Каспинфо
декабрь 1999

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Название: Бюллетень Туркестан (на английском яз)
Главные Пункты:
Выпуск 99:154
* Казахстан решил присоединится к ВТО в ближайшие два года
* TEXACO проявляет интерес к участию в проводимой в Армении разведке нефти и газа.
* Некоторые разногласия между Грузией и Азербайджаном по проекту Баку-Джейхан и другие материалы Выдержки из ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОГО БЮЛЛЕТЕНЯ ТУРКЕСТАНА, выпуск 99:150
* Украина ускоряет строительство Евроазиатского коридора транспорта нефти
(15.12.1999)


Полный Текст
Бюллетень Туркестан (на английском яз)
Turkistan Newsletter - Turkistan Bulteni -Wed, 15 Dec 1999
10:19:11ISSN:1386-6265__Volume 99:154-12-December-1999
Editors: Charlie Bartholomew,
Mehmet Tutuncu
This issue distributes to 2930 subscribers in 65 countries
Reactions to:

KazakhstanFrom Kazakhstan Weekly News December 14, 1999 requests
toresearch@kazks.kz
Kazakhstan Plans to Join WTO Within Two Years
Kazakhstan plans to join the World Trade Organization (WTO) within
the next two years, Economics Minister Zhaksybek Kulekeev said on
Tuesday.Kulekeev said at a press conference in Astana that the
republicannounced its application for WTO membership
in February 1996.Kulekeev could not give a more precise time frame on
WTO entry, notingthat "this will depend not only on Kazakhstan, but
also on WTO memberstates with which Kazakhstan will have to hold
bilateral talks and signappropriate agreeme
nts."The minister stated that the WTO demands low customs tariffs on
goodsand services from its members. Kazakhstan has already submitted
itsproposals on shaping customs tariffs to the WTO, Kulekeev said. He
addedthat membership in the WTO should
not affect the republic's customsunion shared with Russia, Belarus,
the Kyrgyz Republic, and Tajikistan.After joining the WTO, Kazakhstan
will gain real access to internationalmarkets for the export of
textiles, agricultural products and otherit
ems, although the nation exports mostly raw materials at
present,Kulekeev said. (Interfax, Golden Eagle Partners)Kazakhstan
Produced 27 mln Tons Oil Jan - NovKazakhstan produced 27,369,278
tonnes of oil and gas condensate in thefirst 11 months
of the year. This was 0.6% above target and 16.2% moreyear-on-year.It
produced 6.464209 billion cubic meters of gas (1.1% below target
and29.5% more year-on-year).From January through November, the state
oil company, Kazakhoil,produced 5,082,097
tonnes of oil and condensate (4.3% above and 4.3%more, respectively),
including 2,980,275 tonnes of oil (5.6% above and10% more) and 34,630
tonnes of condensate (9.6% below and 14% less) atUzenmunaigaz, and
2,101,822 tonnes of oil at Kazakhoil-Em
ba (2.6% aboveand 2.9% less).Another nine organizations in which
Kazakhoil participates produced9,458,050 tonnes of oil in this period
(1.7% below and 16.4% more),including 8,826,288 tonnes at
TengizChevroil (0.9% below and 15.7%more). (Interfax
, Bloomberg)The joint venture TengizChevroil (TCO) expects to reach a
total 1999output of 9.8 million tonnes of oil, according to TCO's
director,Mendigali Sappaev. The enterprise, which operates the giant
Tengiz oilfield in western Kazakhstan,
has reached a production level of 26,000tonnes of crude per day. It
plans to increase that level to 33,000tonnes per day next year, with a
total year 2000 output forecast of 12million tonnes.TengizChevroil is
a joint venture between Chevron, Exxo
nMobil,Kazakhoil, and LUKArco. (Interfax, Golden Eagle
Partners)
***********************
ArmeniaUS Oil Giant Offers Oil Exploration in Armenia
The US oil multinational
TEXACO has shown interest in joining the ongoing search for oil and gas in Armenian,
officials in Yerevan said
onTuesday. A spokeswoman for the Armenian energy ministry,
ZhasminaGhevondian, told RFE/RL that the company has "expressed a
desire" toengage in geological explorations to determine w
hether there arecommercially viable hydrocarbon reserves in Armenia.
Senior TEXACOexecutives met with President Robert Kocharian on Monday
to discuss thematter among other issues. "The company aims to carry
out exploratorywork on oil and gas on t
he country's territory," Kocharian's pressoffice reported.Oil
exploration in Armenia was previously conducted by another
smallerAmerican firm. Geologists have long suggested the existence of
oilfields deep underneath some areas around Yerevan. B
ut several test wellsdrilled during the Soviet period found no
deposits whose commercialexploitation would be justified.Ghevondian
said the most recent well drilled earlier this year 20kilometers east
of the Armenian capital revealed only large
reserves ofhot water. However, she said oil exploration would continue
because"this doesn't mean there is no oil in Armenia."A TEXACO
vice-president was quoted on Monday as telling Kocharian thatthe
company will soon open an office in Yerevan, w
hich will also dealwith sales and production of lubricants and car
service.(Emil
Danielyan)>>><<>><<>><>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>>AzerbaijanOil
profits begin flowing By David Stern in BakuFive years after it first
invited fore
ign multinationals to help developits potentially lucrative energy
sector, Azerbaijan has begun to seeprofits from one of its offshore
oil consortiums.The country's first share of "profit oil", from its
production-sharingagreement with the Azerb
aijan International Operating Company (AIOC),has been sold to the
Franco-Belgian company Totalfina, according toofficials. One million
barrels will be shipped around December 19-21from the Georgian port of
Supsa.Oil for profit began to flow rece
ntly after the consortium paid off itsoperating costs. Future revenues
will be split 50-50, with half coveringcapital expenditures and the
remainder seen as profit. Azerbaijan willreceive 30 per cent of
profits for the moment, although its portion
willincrease steadily over the life of the contract.The oil sale is
being touted by officials as a milestone in the plans ofHeydar Aliyev,
president, to recreate the ex-Soviet republic as a bighydrocarbon
exporter to the west. In addition to t
he BP Amoco-led AIOC,created fanfare in 1994, Baku has signed 17
production-sharingagreements with foreign multinationals, which could
net the smallCaspian republic up to $60bn.AIOC is now the country's
only working consortium, however, with one
platform producing around 115,000 barrels per day. It intends to
developthree offshore fields with estimated reserves of about 630m
tonnes andprojected investment of more than $10bn.Azerbaijan's economy
has felt little benefit so far from the co
ntractssigned. Foreign investment has remained low outside of the oil
industry,and many among the country's 8m residents have grown restive
waiting fora promised oil boom."The first profit oil was politically
very important," said one westernoil
executive. "Aliyev wanted to show the opposition that there has
beensome improvement and that the money is being well
managed."Government officials say they hope to earn about $100m from
sales ofprofit oil next year, which could be used in part
to cover the country'sgrowing deficit. Baku has also exported over the
last three years some1.4m tonnes of oil from its own Soviet-era
fields. Representatives fromthe International Monetary Fund have
insisted on the creation of an oilfund, with p
rofits collected separately and meted out gradually asneeded for
infrastructure projects.Western officials have expressed fear that the
so-called "wall ofmoney", expected when revenues begin in earnest in
5-10 years, couldnegatively affect compe
titiveness in the non oil sector and aggravatecorruption. Talks
between the government and international institutionshave only just
begun, however, although Mr. Aliyev and his ministershave made
commitments to the creation of a fund.More importa
ntly, some say they are afraid the country lacks theinstitutional
capacity to manage the money responsibly. Officials mayfund
unnecessary projects or part of the money may disappear. "Theprofits
will be a big temptation," said one western diplomat
.>>><<>><<>><>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>><<>>CaspianSeveral
countries sign commercial shipping agreements with Azerbaijan7
December, Azer-press habarlar-l@usc.eduBaku, - The Caspian Shipping
Company is contemplating the possibility
ofsigning bilateral commercial shipping agreements with several
countries.Azer-press learned from the CSC that draft agreements with
Bulgaria,Greece and The Netherlands had been completed and were
passing over foraccommodation. If the agreement
s are initialed soon, the parties willwork out technical details, such
as directions and volumes of cargoflows. A little earlier than these
will be signed the agreements withRussia and Iran, as the CSC is
planning. Russia and Iran are the onlytwo
Caspian states with which no agreements on preferential
treatmentpermitting passage of Azeri vessels through their interior
waterways andarrival at their ports have been made to date. Azerbaijan
is party tothe three-lateral commercial shipping ag
reement with Ukraine andGeorgia, and bilateral agreements with
Georgia, Turkey and Romania.Chevron is prepared to invest $700 mn in
CPC7 December, Azer-press- prime news habarlar-l@usc.eduBaku,. Chevron
was prepared to invest $700 mn in constru
ction of thetrans-Caspian gas line to take Kazakh gas from Tenghiz
fields toNovorossiysk, the company president Richard Matzke told the
press.According to Russia's fuel and energy ministry, construction
prospectsof the Caspian Pipeline Consortia
depended directly on alteration 80days payback.However, the oilmen are
not managing to return the currency revenues intime, and the ministry
assured the problem would be solved since Russiangovernment intends to
help in every way 'serious projec
ts in Russiainvolving overseas investments'. The Caspian Pipeline
Consortium wasfounded in 1992. The pipeline is to be 1580 km long and
have the maximumcapacity of 67-mln t/yr. Exploitation term is 40
years. Russia has 24-%shares in the consortiu
m, Kazakhstan and Oman have 19 % and 7 %respectively. The other 50 pc
are divided between large internationaloil companies. The initial
capacity of 28-mln t/yr will become usable on30 July 2001, according
to the Russian fuel and energy ministry.M
inisterial sources inform that the CPC's budget will reach $1.3 bn
nextyear, with more than half of this sum coming from Chevron. As Mr.
Matzkesaid, 'the CPC is Chevron's most attractive project'.CNPC moves
to link central China with pipeline
from Kazakhstan20-06-99A representative of the Chinese National
Petroleum Corp (CNPC) announcedrecently that the company had begun
constructing a pipeline to bringKazakh oil to central China. Under a
nearly $ 10 billion investment dealsigned in
1997, CNPC is planning to build a 3,000-km pipeline from theAktobe
region of western Kazakhstan to the Xinjiang Uighur autonomousregion
in western China.Work on this pipeline has not yet begun, but CNPC's
Vice President WuYaowen said the company
had started laying pipe from Korla, located tothe south of Xinjiang's
capital Urumqi, to Lanzhou in north centralChina. From Lanzhou, which
is a major center of China's petrochemicalindustry, one branch of the
pipeline will go east to the Henan p
rovinceand another branch will go south to the Sichuan province.CNPC
will be laying 4,300 km of pipe within China so that oil
fromKazakhstan can flows to all parts of the country, Wu said. A
generalagreement on construction of the 3,000-km pipel
ine from Aktobe toXinjiang was signed during Chinese Prime Minister Li
Peng's visit toKazakhstan in September of 1997. Building the pipeline
is expected tocost at least $ 3 billion. Wu noted that the line would
be able to carryup to 25 million me
tric tons of oil per year
****************
Black Sea
Russia's blue stream project is considered ineffectual in Socar
7 December, Azer-press habarlar-l@usc.eduBaku, - Preparation for
submission of the MEP rel
ated agreements withTurkey and Georgia for approval of the parliament
will be over verysoon, Azer-press learned from SOCAR. Company
officials sounded confidentthat Ankara and Tbilisi would also pass the
documents through theirrespective parliamen
ts as there is an understanding that approval andformalities should
not be delayed.SOCAR people believe the criticism of some Russian
politicians andbusinessmen directed against projects of new pipelines
to export Caspiangas and oil to the Turki
sh market is nothing else but a side effect ofcompetition for transit
and export opportunities. We were told at SOCAR,that Russia's
skeptical view of Baku-Ceyhan MEP was firstly due to thefact that
Moscow laid claims to the big oil transits across
itsterritory but failed to persuade Azerbaijan that Baku-Novorossiysk
wasthe most reliable and economically sound of them all. 'We have
neverpushed this route aside and it had been one of the three options
tabledsince MEP working group came to l
ight. However, our partners and weopted for the route to Ceyhan in the
end. Russia has no reason toconsider this line commercially faulty
since our surveys of Baku-Ceyhantell of the opposite', we were told at
SOCARSOCAR officials also denied tha
t agreements signed in Istanbul were amere political declaration."'We
had long been examining the route and signed a 2000-page package
ofdocuments that indicate all the practical details of the project
withsufficient clarity. In these documents s
igned in Istanbul we have givenmany parameters of the pipeline and all
the parties' obligations, so itis simply illogical to say the
agreements are of political nature.Certainly, we could not catch every
particularity in these agreementssince the
detailed engineering is not started yet. However, we areconfident
that further research is only going to prove the previousfindings."As
for Caspian gas transport projects, Russia is a sheer rival
toAzerbaijan and Turkmenistan in this aspect, hen
ce the inefficiencyclaims. We expect, and we are certain, that we will
be able to win thestruggle for the Turkish market. Our pipeline will
be built much earlierand Caspian gas will be much more suitable for
Turkey," said SOCAR'sofficials.Azeri
experts feel that all the critical statements about Caspian
gasprojects are in truth applicable to the Blue Stream projects, as it
isineffectual indeed. It should be mentioned that the Turkish
governmenthad to decide to switch power off for two h
ours every day in Ankarabecause the country does not have alternative
gas supply sources. Suchan untoward situation is caused by reduction
of Russian gas supplies bymore than 20 %.Russian Government approves
project of gas export to TurkeyAs i
mplementation of the project of Russian gas export to Turkey
alongBlack Sea bed, which has been widely labeled as Blue Stream, is
nearing,the government of the Russian Federation has approved the $1.7
billionproject signed in 1997. The project rep
resents strategic importance,therefore, Russia and Turkey have
exempted companies involved from alltax on all construction operations
and for the first 15 years of thepipelines operation. Last week,
Russian Gazprom, Italian ENI and anumber of oth
er western companies agreed to start laying the pipelinevia Black Sea
to Turkey. Blue Stream envisions laying two under-watergas
pipelines, each 380-km long. Export of gas is scheduled to commencein
the spring of 2001. 365 billion cubic meters o
f gas will betransported in the 20 years of the pipelines operation,
as the bulk ofexpenses will be assumed by Gazprom.Turkey tells ENI to
move ahead with Blue StreamNovember 30, 1999 ReutersItalian oil
company ENI should go ahead with a pipel
ine project to bringRussian gas to Turkey via the Black Sea from 2001
even though Turkey'sgas purchase priority belongs to Caspian
suppliers, a Turkish officialsaid on November 19."ENI should continue
work" Reuters quoted a senior energy ministr
yofficial as saying, when asked about a comment from an ENI
official,chief financial officer Marco Mangiagalli, that the
pipeline'sconstruction would begin in August 2000 with completion in
2001.ENI and Russian gas monopoly Gazprom have been dev
eloping the BlueStream project, which envisages a 1,200 km (750-mile)
pipeline fromsouthern Russia to Turkey's capital Ankara through a
400-km Black Seapassage. "We need gas, no matter where it comes from,"
Reuters quotedthe official, who asked n
ot to be identified, as saying. "But of courseour official priority
goes to Turkmen gas," he added.Analysts are skeptical over Blue Stream
because it requires a pipelinepassing at a depth of 2,100 metres under
the Black Sea - the deepestsubsea p
assage ever in the world. Turkey has been involved in threemajor gas
and pipeline projects to quench its thirst for gas. The BlueStream
project for 16 billion cubic metres (bcm) a year of Russian
gascompetes with a Trans-Caspian gas line from Turk
menistan with an annualsupply of 16 bcm and another from Iran for
three bcm a year.Another energy official said he believed Blue Stream,
snubbed byTurkmenistan and Azerbaijan which want to shut out Russia on
their gasdeals with the West, could b
e the quickest project to be realized tosupply gas to Turkey, despite
Turkey's official pro-Caspian policy. "Webelieve that ENI has
sufficient financial reserves to finance the BlueStream project,"
Reuters quoted him as saying. The Turkmen gas dea
l isscheduled to come on stream from 2002. The Iranian deal, planned
for1999, has been delayed as both Turkey and Iran failed to complete
thepipeline to extend from Iran's Tabriz to Ankara.Blue Stream 29 Nov
1999 GAZPROMRIA Novosti (in Russian
)The works on installation of lines of a gas pipeline " a Light-blue
flow" [Blue Stream] will begin the coming days. All necessary
documents forrealization of the project " a Light-blue flow " will be
signed byRussia and Turkey the next week. As
has informed RIA "News" the chapterof OAO of "Gazprom" of Rem
Vjahirev, the works on installation of linesof a gas pipeline will
begin in 10 days. As he said, the civil work willbegin at once on all
three sites of a gas pipeline.Vjahirev emphasi
zed, that the document would be signed in the workingorder of each of
the parties " by itself, at home ".Tuapse Downwarp, Black Sea,
RussiaOil and Gas potential assessed as 6.5 billion tons (45
BBOE).Internet Geology News Letter, No. 15, Octob
er 18, 1999http://geocities.com/internetgeologyFrom Dr. James Clarke
USGS - over 40 years translating Russian geologyinto EnglishThe Tuapse
downwarp lies offshore in the Black Sea parallel to the coastfrom
Novorossiysk past Tuapse to Sochi. It
is about 60 km wide and 250km long, and water depth is in general
2,000 m. It is locatedimmediately south of the Caucasus
Range.Thickness of the Cenozoic section here has been estimated at
6-14 km.Parallel on the south of the Tuapse downwarp is t
he Shatsky Ridge, ananticlinal structure expressed in the sea floor
topography by a smallarea where water depth is less than 2000
m.Tugolesov and others (1985) gave a rather high appraisal for
theJurassic, Cretaceous, Paleocene, and Eocene of the
Shatsky structure.For the Tuapse downwarp, however, they allocated
only small pools inMiocene and Pliocene sediments - this because of
absence of suitablefolds and the predominance of stratigraphic traps.A
study by Glumov and Viginskiy (1999) a
ssesses the potential of theTuapse downwarp using the volume-genetic
method. The West Kuban downwarpjust north of the Caucasus Range is
taken as an analog. Clays of theOligocene-Miocene Maykop Series are
the source beds. The ratio of volumeof May
kop sediments of the Tuapse downwarp to that of the West Kubandownwarp
is placed at 3.8 (53,500 to 14,100 cubic km). On this basis,the total
hydrocarbon resources of the Tuapse downwarp are assessed as6.5
billion tons (45 BBOE). This figure, howev
er, is probably much toooptimistic because the Maykop source beds of
the downwarp are largelyimmature due to a very low geothermal
gradient.More than 50 local highs have been recorded by seismic
surveys in theTuapse downwarp. Many are caused by
clay diapirs. They range in lengthfrom a few kilometers to 20-25 km.
These are grouped in zones that havea general Caucasus trend. Bright
spots on the seismic records indicatepresence of gas pools. The
Miocene-Pliocene section is regarded as them
ost favorable for discovery (Petroleum Geology, vol. 34 no. 1,
p.67-73, 2000, in press).Lateral migration in the Black Sea is
extremely important such thatthere is considerable potential for oil
and gas along its margins. TheTuapse downwarp, how
ever, is in the migration shadow of the ShatskyRidge. This in addition
to immaturity of the Maykop source beds detractsfrom the potential of
this downwarp; however, the possibility of chargefrom a source rock
deeper than the Maykop in the Tuapse d
ownwarp cannotbe discounted. (Eugene Iwaniw, personal communication).
See alsoRobinson and others, Marine and Petroleum Geology, vol. 13,
no. 2, p.195-225, 1996.Copyright 1999 James Clarke -Tuapse

**********************
GeorgiaGeorgia argues on several provisions of
Baku-Ceyhan project7 December, Azer-press-prime-newsBaku, -
Azerbaijan's MEP working group would go to Tbilisi on 13December to
finalize the issues related to construction of t
he pipeline,said GIOC president Ghiya Chanturiya. The parties are
expected toaccommodate and sign two inter-governmental agreements by
15 December,however, the Georgian side still argues on several points.
For instance,there is the necessity of c
larifying environmental problems related topipeline construction,
division of responsibility in the event ofnatural disasters,
compliance between the project's details and all thecountries'
constitutions.Mr. Chanturiya said the financial documen
ts would be finalized in 2000,and the tender for construction in
Azerbaijan and Georgia would beannounced in early 2001.The maximum
planned capacity of the oil pipeline is 60-mln t/yr and thepipe
diameter is 120 cm.GIOC president Ghiya Chanturiy
a said at the press conference in Tbilisiyesterday, that Georgia would
sign requisite MEP agreements withAzerbaijan, but on the three main
conditions. Georgia should be freefrom any obligation to cover force
majeur damages and costs. (In theopini
on of Mr. Chanturiya, this is down to AIOC since it theconsortium's
oil to flow through the pipe). The environmental safety ofthe project
would be enhanced and the constitutional issues would
besettled.According to Mr. Chanturiya, Georgia also
wants the agreements withAzerbaijan to reflect the former's wish to
extract 2-3 % of oil volumesto go to Ceyhan. The working groups of
Azerbaijan and Georgia will bediscussing these points in Tbilisi on
13-15 December. Prime MinisterArtur Rasizad
e considered it inexpedient to free Georgia from theobligation to
compensate damages caused by force majeur circumstances,so this point
is probably going to be the most difficult one during thenegotiations
in Tbilisi. Azerbaijan and Georgia have t
o sign aninter-governmental and a transit agreement, and vice-premier
AbidSharifov believes this is to happen before 15 December.Georgia
will be earning $200-250 mln a year on Baku-Ceyhan MEP7 December,
Azer-press habarlar-l@usc.eduBaku, - Ghi
ya Chanturiya, president of Georgian International OilCorporation
(GIOC), claimed at the press conference on 6 December thatGeorgia
would be earning the annual revenues of $200-250 mn ontransiting oil
through Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan pipeline as well a
s using theinfrastructure. Mr. Chanturiya said that President
Shevardnadzesuggested, while meeting with the leaders of the Caspian
states inIstanbul, that Georgia should be allowed to use 2-3 % of the
totalenergy resources traveling across its te
rritory. In addition, anycompany that is engaged in downstream
production in Georgia should beplaced in a position to purchase as
much oil as it might happen to needdirectly from the volumes going
through Baku-Ceyhan and Baku-Supsa.Mr. Chanturiy
a said that it was planned to build a new refinery nearSupsa that
would be producing to European standards. So far, there areno
analogues of such a plant in the whole of the Black Sea region, andthe
future out-puts will be exported for the most pa
rt. Meanwhile, theexisting refinery in Batumi will be covering
domestic demand uponcompletion of its current refurbishment. American
Company OTS Capitalshall complete the feasibility report for the new
refinery in Supsa bythe end of the year, and
the Georgian and American sides have almostfinished all research for
the project in the meantime. All is left to dois discuss a range of
technical and commercial aspects of the project.'We still mean to
offer SOCAR ten to fifteen per cent in the
futurerefinery in Supsa, with the possibility for GIOC to acquire
interest inany of future Caspian oil consortia in return,' remarked
Mr. Chanturiya.He added that no such proposal had been made officially
yet.GIOC remains adhered to the planned
negotiations upon building of therefinery with those companies that
are interested to have their oilprocessed in Supsa.GIOC expects to
make contracts not only in AIOC but also beyond it, withoil companies
operating in Kazakhstan, specifically wit
h Chevron andMobil. Initial capacity of the new refinery will be up to
3 mn t/yr, andthen exactly 3 mn t/yr, with the final capacity at
roundabout 12 mnt/yr. This increase is tied to the rising production
in Azerbaijan. Thefirst stage expenditure
on the plant will equal $300 mn, and GIOCproposes to complete
construction within eighteen months. According toGIOC experts, the
current oil demand in Georgia is approximately
6-mlnt/yr.

********************

TURKISTAN-ECONOMY-BULLETIN...ISSN:--1386-6265
Volume 99:150-06-December-1999
Editors: Charlie Bartholomew, Mehmet Tutuncu
This issue distributes to 2829 subscribers in 65 countries
Reactions to: < turkistan-n-request@nic.surfnet.nl
This issue distributes to 2593 subscribers in 65 countries

Ukraine
Ukraine accelerates construction of the Eurasian oil transport corridor
24 November, Azer-press
KIEV, - The government of Ukraine obliged its economy ministry to work
out the options of instituting the favorable investment regime for the
construction of the Eurasian oil transport corridor by 15 December.
Vice-premier Anatoly Kinah told the press that the diversification of
energy supplies to Ukraine was the matter of national security.
According to Mr. Kinah, the problem shall be solved following the
completion of the Yuzhny oil terminal and of Odessa-Brodi oil pipeline.
Saying that the agreement on MEP Baku-Ceyhan was 'a very serious
political solution', Mr. Kinah added that Ukraine had to commission the
terminal near Odessa and Odessa-Brodi pipeline in 2000 so as to make use
of the resources of Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan. It should be remembered
that Ukraine's Gosneftegazprom submitted for consideration of the
investors the concept of developing the trans-Ukraine route, and
Azer-press is informed that SOCAR and several AIOC shareholders
(including BPAmoco) are being fairly loyal to this project.

Appearance of this transport corridor would make it possible to supply
Caspian oil to the refineries in Ukraine as well as to Slovakia, Czechia
and even to Austria by using the vacant capacities of the Druzhba main
going by Brodi (has been used by 60-70 pc in the past several years).
Further extension of the pipeline to Adamova Zastava (300 km) would make
it possible to ship oil to Poland and Germany by using the vacant
capacities of Druzhba-2 main. In addition, Caspian oil could pass along
the Ukrainian corridor to the northwest Europe that has until now been
traditionally oriented to the low-sulphur oil from the fields in the
North Sea. In this connection, it is possible to extend the transport
corridor Baku-Supsa-the Yuzhny -Adamova Zastava to the Baltic ports of
Gdansk, Rostock and Ventspils. If the reverse pipeline
Loyna-Willhelmshafen (Germany) is ever built, Azeri oil can be piped to
all refineries along the existing pipeline networks of Europe, and
without any extra re-shipping by tankers in the North and Baltic Sea
ports.

Azer-press reference: Kiev has invested approximately $150 mn in this
project so far. By the preliminary plans, 466 km of Odessa-Brodi
pipeline must be completed by the end of this year (the total length of
667 km). The initial commissioning of the Yuzhny terminal and of this
pipeline is set for 2001. At first, the terminal will have the annual
transit capacity of 9 mn tons, and the pipeline's capacity will be 14 mn
t/yr. In the future, however, the route will be able to handle as much
as 40-mn t/yr. The total cost of the project is calculated to equal $450
mn.