Каспинфо
ноябрь 1999

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Название: Короткие сообщения на английском языке
Главные Пункты:
* Conoco объявила о закрытии своего бакинского офиса после неудавшихся переговоров о возрождении сектора нефтяного месторождения Гюнешли.
* Иранский министр иностранных дел подписал соглашение с Туркменистаном о строительстве плотины и сотрудничестве в разработке каспийских нефтяных месторождений.
* Ученые Гарвардского Университета оценили перспективы успеха и долгосрочной стабильности в каспийском регионе.
* Перспективы сооружения туркменского газопровода неясны.
* Аксенено не смог убедить Азербайджан в выгодности северного маршрута экспора нефти в обход Чечни.
* Анонс конференции "Нефть и газ Каспия , 2000" в Баку.
* И другие сообщения.
(10.11.1999)


Полный Текст
Короткие сообщения на английском языке
RFE/RL NEWSLINE Vol. 3, No. 208, Part I, 25 October 1999

IVANOV COMPLAINS TO ALBRIGHT OVER 'BLOCKING' OF OIL CONTRACTS
WITH IRAQ. Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov has sent a
letter to U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine Albright arguing
that it is "unacceptable" that the U.S. is blocking Russian
oil contracts under the UN's Iraqi oil-for-food program, RIA-
Novosti reported on 23 October. Russian Deputy Foreign
Minister Sergei Ordzhonikidze, who handed the letter to U.S.
permanent representative to the UN Richard Holbrooke, told
journalists that Ivanov described the U.S. practice as
clearly "selective," particularly with regard to the state
company Zarubezhneft. Similar contracts concluded by other
states pass the UN sanctions committee "unimpeded," the
letter maintained. Zarubezhneft and other Russian companies
fully comply with the Security Council norms, Ordzhonikidze
said, adding that Moscow believes the U.S. is seeking to
prevent Russia companies from consolidating their position on
the Iraqi oil market in order to "reserve this chance" for
U.S. companies in the future. JC

**************

KAZAKH PREMIER ENDORSES MULTIPLE PIPELINES.
Following talks in Astana on 22 October with his visiting Azerbaijani
counterpart, Artur Rasizade, Qasymzhomart Toqaev told
journalists that Kazakhstan supports the planned Baku-Ceyhan
pipeline as one of several to export Kazakhstan's oil,
Interfax reported. Rasizade said Azerbaijan does not rule out
the possibility of routing oil export pipelines via Iran and
Armenia if a peace treaty is signed with the latter. Rasizade
added that the two countries have only unspecified "minor
differences" over the status of the Caspian Sea. The previous
day, Russian Fuel and Energy Minister Viktor Kalyuzhnyi
expressed doubts that the financial obstacles to the Baku-
Ceyhan project will ever be surmounted, according to
Interfax. He added that the assembly of pipe for an
alternative stretch of the existing Baku-Novorossiisk
pipeline bypassing Chechnya will begin this week. LF

RFE/RL NEWSLINE Vol. 3, No. 210, Part I, 27 October 1999


EBRD DENIES CO-FUNDING CHECHEN BYPASS PIPELINE.
A spokesman at the London headquarters of the European Bank for
Reconstruction and Development denied on 26 October that the
bank is contributing to the funding of the oil pipeline
bypassing Chechnya, ITAR-TASS reported. The construction of
the pipeline began the same day. Interfax on 19 October had
quoted Semen Vainshtok, director of the Russian pipeline
operator Transneft, as saying that Russia's Sberbank and the
EBRD has agreed to guarantee $120 million to fund that
project. Transneft Deputy Director Sergei Ter-Sarkisyants
said on 26 October that the company has lowered the cost of
the bypass pipeline from more than $180 million to under $100
million and could provide at least half of that sum from its
own funds. LF

ANOTHER WESTERN OIL COMPANY PULLS OUT OF AZERBAIJAN.
The Houston-based oil company Conoco has announced the closure of
its Baku office, following its failure after three years of
talks to reach agreement with the Azerbaijan state oil
company SOCAR on reviving the shallow-water sector of the
Gyuneshli oil field, Business Wire and Interfax reported on
21 and 26 October, respectively. Meanwhile a SOCAR spokesman
told Interfax on 21 October that he opposes the over-hasty
implementation of plans for the company's partial
privatization. Under those plans, which President Aliev has
not yet approved, the state would retain a 15 percent stake
in SOCAR and in the Azerkhimiya, Azerigaz and Azerenergiya
companies. Thirty percent of the shares would be sold at a
cash auction and the remaining 55 percent for vouchers. LF

RFE/RL NEWSLINE Vol. 3, No. 211, Part I, 29 October 1999


Kazakhstan
USA CALL UPON KAZAKHSTAN TO JOIN MEP PROJECT
12 OCTOBER, AZER-PRESS-PRIME-NEWS BAKU,-
Kazakhstan announced the start of the new, and the development of
the existing oil export projects, but nothing was said about
Baku-Ceyhan
route.
The officials of Kazakhstan's ministry of energy, industries and trade
believe that the absence of any activity does not mean MEP is being
ignored. US's John Wolf said, following the meeting with President
Nazarbayev, that 'the US administration considered MEP Baku-Ceyhan as
a pipeline that will be available for all the countries of the region'.
Mobil, Shell and Chevron are expected to finish the feasibility report
for the project of exporting oil by Aktau-Baku-the Mediterranean
route.
It is envisaged that MEP will take oil volumes over from the sub sea
pipeline connecting the Western coast of Kazakhstan with Baku.

Astana does not show special ardor as regards this project, but, as
said President Nazarbayev, 'Kazakhstan actively works on the establishment
of a new multi-optional pipeline network that would be capable of
ensuring Kazakh oil exports destined for various regions of the world'.

The project of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium will allow transporting
oil from Tengiz field to Novorossiysk. The pipeline, it is expected,
will be put into operation in June 2001 with the initial capacity of
28.2 mln.
The feasibility report for the pipeline to Iran is also in progress,
and yet another one on the pipeline from Western Kazakhstan to China is
planned to be ready in October. Among all these, MEP Baku-Ceyhan is
ranked as 'expected project'. How Kazakhstan to play major role in
Baku-Ceyhan, says Wolf Posted Tuesday, October 19, 1999 - 13:48 by
News Editor

Following a meeting with Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev, John
Wolf, US presidential adviser on Caspian energy, said the former
Soviet republic must play a major role -in the development of the project in
which an oil pipeline will connect the Azeri capital Baku to Ceyhan,
a Turkish Mediterranean seaport. The meeting concentrated on fuel
issues, Interfax quoted him as saying. He briefed Nazarbayev on the
Baku-Ceyhan project, Wolf said. Once the pipeline is operational, Kazakhstan will
be able to begin the development of new oil fields and step up the
production in the old ones, he told Nazarbayev.

The pipeline will make Western markets accessible to Kazakh oil, Wolf
added. The United States has lobbied hard for the pipeline.
But Wolf said that there was more to the project than a political
issue. Kazakhstan's involvement in that project may supplement
another project - the Caspian Pipeline Consortium - which provides for laying
a pipeline from Tengiz oil field in western Kazakhstan to the Russian
Black Sea port of Novorossiysk he said. The US Administration believes
that all Caspian countries must have access to the Baku Ceyhan
pipeline, according to him.
The project will be viable if it is economically feasible, Wolf said.
Estimates of the costs of constructing a Baku-Ceyhan pipeline vary
from US$ 2.4 million to four billion. This issue is for regional countries
to resolve, Wolf said. The Kazakh-Russian agreement on the delimitation
of the Caspian seabed is a showcase of success in the negotiating
process, he said.

Wolf called on other countries to sign similar agreements.
However, the pipeline may provide commercially unprofitable without
Kazakh oil, as it would fail to reach the projected 60 mln tons'.

*************

Turkmenistan
Iran, Turkmenistan sign agreement on dam, cooperation 21 Oct 1999
MOSCOW, Oct 21 (AFP) - Iranian Foreign Minister Kamal Kharazi has
signed agreements with Turkmenistan to build a dam and cooperate in
developing Caspian oil fields, ITAR-TASS reported Thursday. Kharazi, who met
Wednesday with President Saparmurat Niyazov in Ashghabad, also
discussed exporting Turkmen electricity to Turkey via Iran, the news agency
said.
Niyazov asked Kharazi to try to influence Turkey into taking a
decision sooner, as Turkmenistan "is ready to export electricity
anytime."
The sides signed an inter-governmental agreement on joint
construction of a dam on the Tejen River near the Iran-Turkmenistan
border.
The sides agreed to co-operate in developing Caspian Sea oil
fields.

Niyazov also suggested creating an Iranian-Turkmen consortium
designed to build a highway between the two countries. The Iranian
Company Dobral has built a road in Turkmenistan that was opened
Wednesday.

***********

*#1. Caucasus: Scholars Ponder Prospects For Caspian Stability
By Michael Lelyveld


Boston, 1 November 1999 (RFE/RL) -- Scholars at Harvard University
pondered the prospects for succession and long-term stability in the Caspian
region last week during a period of both rising violence and hopes for peace.


The long-scheduled seminar on the challenges of transition and policy
toward the Caucasus and Central Asia coincided with dramatic events in
Chechnya and Armenia, giving a heightened sense of urgency to the
meeting.

The Harvard effort is part of a new Caspian studies program and an
"Azerbaijan Initiative" at the John F. Kennedy School of Government,
funded by the U.S.-Azerbaijan Chamber of Commerce and a consortium of
companies.

Speaking to an audience at the start of the three-day session last
Tuesday, Araz Azimov, Azerbaijan's deputy foreign minister, stressed regional
security as a major factor in the speed of his country's development.

"We're concerned with the increased military pressure in the northern
Caucasus," Azimov said, citing the large numbers of Russian armored
vehicles brought into play by the Chechnya offensive.

Azerbaijan and Georgia both seek an eventual international agreement
to exclude any foreign military presence in the area in exchange for the
elimination of Russian threats to security, Azimov said.

Much of the public discussion was devoted to the region's petroleum
development and the outlook for pipelines. Former U.S. Central
Intelligence Agency Director John Deutch voiced skepticism that any of the planned
pipelines would be built "in the next dozen years." Ashton Carter, a
former U.S. assistant secretary of defense, cited the risk of failure unless
all regional interests, including Iran, share in the benefits of pipeline
development.

Much of the work of the program is being conducted in closed meetings
of experts who are studying regional policy. The groups are working
toward a series of policy recommendations for the U.S. government, said Graham
Allison, chairman of the program and director of the Belfer Center at
the Kennedy School.

Last week, expert panels dealt with issues of succession in the region,
where threats to stability are combined with concerns about the age or
health of several national leaders.

Prospects are uncertain for peaceful transition to the next generation
of power across a wide area stretching from the Black Sea to the borders
of China. The concerns have been compounded by war, ethnic tensions, and
sudden violence, such as last week's assassinations in Armenia.

In a paper presented to the conference, Martha Brill Olcott, senior
associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in
Washington, said the issue of succession appears to be developing under three
different models. The first is dynastic, in which aging leaders hope to pass
their power to family members. The second is democratic, relying on
institutional development. The third is simply unplanned, or what Olcott calls
"avoidance" of the succession question. All present risks and
problems, she said.

Azerbaijan was cited most clearly as falling under the "dynastic" category
because of speculation that Ilham Aliyev, the vice president of the
state oil company, will succeed his father Heydar Aliyev as president.

To a lesser extent, Kazakhstan may fall into the same category because
of the role of President Nursultan Nazarbayev's family in politics,
Olcott said. So far, neither leader has shown signs of stepping down. Armenia
and Georgia are seen as most likely to rely on elections for future
transitions, although both countries are deeply troubled. Kyrgyzstan
may also come under the democratic category, although doubts have risen as
the country's economy has soured, Olcott said.

But the deepest uncertainty surrounds Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan,
where reliance on one-man rule has created an institutional void and barred
even talk of a peaceful succession. Olcott believes that these countries
will ultimately prove to be at the greatest risk of instability.

In Uzbekistan, opposition to President Islam Karimov has already
turned violent and could take over in his absence, although the outcome is
unpredictable. In Turkmenistan, there is difficulty in identifying any
group that could serve as an alternative to the cult of President
Saparmurat Niyazov, Olcott said.

The irony of the study is that the countries with the tightest
internal security may face the greatest threat to future stability, unless
their leaders find new formulas for passing on power.

* Business leaders set global rights standards



Copyright й 1999 Reuters Limited.

*RADIO FREE EUROPE/RADIO LIBERTY, PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC
___________________________________________________________
RFE/RL NEWSLINE Vol. 3, No. 214, Part I, 3 November 1999

TURKMENISTAN GAS PIPELINE CONSTRUCTION DELAYED?
Representatives of the U.S. company PSG, which is the
operator of the planned Trans-Caspian gas export pipeline
from Turkmenistan to Baku, and PSG's upstream partner, Shell,
told journalists in Ashgabat on 2 November after talks with
Turkmenistan's President Saparmurat Niyazov that construction
of the pipeline will not begin before the end of 2000 and
will take two years, Interfax reported. Meeting with Niyazov
the same day, Iran's Deputy Petroleum Minister Mehdi Hashemi
Bahramani said Iran is prepared to import 8-11 billion cubic
meters of gas annually from Turkmenistan. Iran currently
receives some 2 billion cubic meters of gas via the
Korpedzhe- Kurt Kui pipeline in payment for Iranian
infrastructure construction. LF

RUSSIA WARNS AGAINST 'POLITICIZING' PIPELINE ROUTES. In
Ankara, Russia's Ambassador Aleksandr Lebedev told Interfax
on 2 November that politicizing "purely commercial deals" to
build pipelines to transport gas to Turkey is "ruinous,"
Interfax reported. The Blue Stream pipeline to export Russian
natural gas to Turkey is expected to be completed by early
2001. LF

*RADIO FREE EUROPE/RADIO LIBERTY, PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC
___________________________________________________________
RFE/RL NEWSLINE Vol. 3, No. 215, Part I, 4 November 1999

PUTIN CALLS FOR VISA REGIME FOR AZERBAIJAN, GEORGIA. Speaking
at a cabinet session on 4 November, Prime Minister Putin
ordered the Foreign Ministry to begin negotiations with
Azerbaijan and Georgia on imposing a temporary visa
requirement for citizens of those countries wishing to enter
Russia, ITAR-TASS reported. Putin argued that such a step is
necessary to prevent Chechen gunmen freely crossing into the
Russian Federation from those two countries. Russian Border
Guard Commander Konstantin Totskii reported to the meeting on
his talks two days earlier with his Georgian counterpart,
Valerii Chkheidze. At those talks, Chkheidze refused to agree
to Russian and Georgian frontier guards joint patrolling the
Chechen sector of the Russian-Georgian border. Totskii said
that at present only 70 Georgian border guards patrol the 80-
kilometer stretch of border but that number will be increased
to 100. LF

*Date: 11/8/99 2:56 PM
From: John Deever


RADIO FREE EUROPE/RADIO LIBERTY, PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC
___________________________________________________________
RFE/RL NEWSLINE Vol. 3, No. 217, Part I, 8 November 1999

...FAILS TO PERSUADE AZERBAIJAN TO SHIP MORE OIL VIA RUSSIA.
Meeting with Natik Aliev, president of Azerbaijan's state oil
company SOCAR, Aksenenko failed to persuade the oil chief
that it would be advantageous for Azerbaijan to agree to
export oil via the northern pipeline bypassing Chechnya,
which is scheduled for completion by mid-2000, rather than to
continue lobbying for construction of the planned Baku-Ceyhan
export pipeline. (Turkey, Azerbaijan, and Georgia are
scheduled to sign a framework legal agreement on that project
at the upcoming OSCE Istanbul summit, and Georgian President
Eduard Shevardnadze discussed the project with his Turkish
counterpart, Suleyman Demirel, in a telephone conversation on
6 November, ITAR-TASS reported.) Kalyuzhnyi offered to allow
Azerbaijan to increase from 5 million tons to 12-15 million
tons the amount of oil it exports annually via Russia. But
SOCAR President Aliev said his company will abide by its
agreement to export 5 million tons annually until 2003,
according to ITAR-TASS. LF

RFE/RL NEWSLINE Vol. 3, No. 218, Part I, 9 November 1999

RUSSIA, TURKEY FAIL TO SIGN PROTOCOL ON GAS DEAL. The
anticipated protocol to the 1997 Russian-Turkish agreement on
construction of the "Blue Stream" undersea pipeline to
transport Russian gas to Turkey was not signed during Turkish
Premier Bulent Ecevit's three day visit to Moscow last week.
But Russian Prime Minister Putin said that the failure to
sign the document is not "a tragedy," while Ecevit said it
will be approved and signed by the Turkish cabinet "in the
near future," according to Interfax. Ecevit termed the
project beneficial for both countries. Putin expressed
satisfaction at the development of bilateral relations,
noting that Turkey is one of Russia's major trade partners
and engages in military-technical cooperation with Russia,
despite its membership in NATO. The two premiers signed four
documents on 5 November, including a joint statement
condemning terrorism. Ecevit also met on 6 November with
Moscow Mayor Yuri Luzhkov to discuss bilateral trade and
economic ties. LF

RUSSIA, INDIA BOOST DEFENSE TIES. Russia and India have
signed an agreement on cooperation in the military sphere.
Speaking to journalists after the signing in New Delhi on 5
November, Russian First Deputy Prime Minister Ilya Klebanov
said the accord provided for the joint production of Su-30
fighter jets to begin next year and for Russia to lease and
eventually sell to India early warning airborne systems,
aircraft carriers, and strategic bombers. The two sides also
discussed the licensed production of Kilo class submarines
and overhauling the submarines India already has. Klebanov
added that the accord forms the "foundation" for future
military cooperation that will be discussed during President
Yeltsin's visit to India in early 2000. JC

* RADIO FREE EUROPE/RADIO LIBERTY, PRAGUE, CZECH REPUBLIC
___________________________________________________________
RFE/RL NEWSLINE Vol. 3, No. 219, Part I, 10 November 1999

BLACK GOLD EXPORTS TO SHRINK. Smaller fishing quotas in the
Caspian will force Russia to slash its black caviar exports
this year, Interfax reported on 9 November citing Deputy
Chairman of the State Fisheries Committee Vladimir Izmailov.
So far in 1999, Russia has caught less than half the amount
of sturgeon compared with the previous year. Black caviar
production will likely total only 100 tons this year compared
with 120 tons produced only for export last year. JAC

***********
CONFERENCE
Under the joint chairmanship of Natig Aliyev, President of SOCAR and
Susan Whitbread, Chief Executive Officer, Petroconsultants -MAI, the
Sixth Caspian Oil and Gas Conference opened with the session 'The
Caspian as an investment opportunity - the latest news and
achievements on Caspian field development projects' and a keynote
address from Natig Aliyev. Subsequent presentations, from major
operators currently active in the Caspian Region focussed on current
achievements and future field development.
The conference, which spanned three days, featured key presentations
from senior government and industry representatives from Azerbaijan,
France, Georgia, Italy, Japan, Kazakhstan, Norway, Romania, Russia,
Turkey, the UK, the US, and the European Commission, reflecting a
broad international perspective on the potential of the Caspian
Region. The increasingly key issue of transportation as well as
management of project risk, finance and insurance within the Caspian
Region and the important issue of local personnel and equipment supply
were also focussed upon.
For the first time the conference addressed the increasingly important
issue of gas within the domestic and the export market. This dynamic
session discussed the potential of the gas market for the whole region
and beyond and attracted extremely high level speakers as well as the
highest number of delegates ever to any session. In light of exciting
recent developments, the 2000 conference will dedicate a whole day to
this issue, reflecting once again the importance of the future role of
Caspian gas alongside Caspian oil.
The Caspian Oil and Gas 2000 conference will be the seventh in the
series of major international conferences to run alongside the
exhibition, reflecting the current issues and achievements and
providing an international forum for the discussion on future
opportunities within the regions oil and gas industry. Attendance at
the conference is free of charge to all industry-related personnel. In
addition to the invitations sent to key speakers, other parties
interested in submitting a paper should contact the Caspian Conference
Department, Spearhead Exhibitions Ltd, UK.


Caspian Oil & Gas 2000 Contacts
Chief Executive: Susan Crouch Technical Director: Bryan Weavers
Financial Director: Chris Marke Sales and Administration Manager:
Maria Williamson Exhibition Sales Administrator: Katie Wise Assistant
Project Director & Conference Manager: Suzanne Morris Conference
Executive: William Thomson Promotions Co-ordinator: Stephanie Bee
Caspian Oil & Gas 2000 is Organised by:
Spearhead Exhibitions Limited Ocean House, 50 Kingston Road New
Maiden, Surrey KT3 3LZ, UK Tel: +44 (0)20 8949 9222 Fax:
+44(0)2089499868/9869 E-mail: caspian@spearhead.co.uk
in partnership with the Azerbaijan Chamber of Commerce & Industry
Spearhead Exhibitions Azerbaijan Block 68, Apartment 8, Nizami Street,
Baku, Azerbaijan Republic Tel: +99412981428 Fax:+994 12 938906 E-mail:
Spearh@azeurotel.com
Visit our website for constantly updated information on Caspian Oil
and Gas 2000 and our other Caspian Events
http://www.caspiantimes.com
Official Journal
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